ESPN’s Bill Connelly with the math update again. This time, we’re talking average projected win totals.
Toledo has the best odds of winning the most games in the MAC with a projected average win total of 8.3 overall, and 5.6 in MAC play. It’s only 5%, but it’s still the best odds of any MAC team finishing with 1 or 0 losses on the year, and will undoubtably reach at least 6 wins on the year (98% odds).
- Buffalo’s odds are great because the roster still has some noteworthy talent and experience that could square up against its competition in the East division.
- Ball State, defending MAC champs, has the third-best odds in MAC play (4.7) and fifth-best in overall wins (6.7) even though there’s no considerable drop-off anywhere on the roster this year.
- Given how everybody (generally) expects Ohio to win a lot of games but never win a MAC title and seeing that there’s still a 1% chance of the Bobcats going undefeated or 1-defeated is pretty neat.
- Kent State’s the people’s preseason champion for the East, but SP+ computer ratings don’t think the same way we humans do. Kent State has the fourth-worst odds of reaching at least 6 wins (38%).